Cancellation Revenue= SUM( Retailer Cancellation Cost[firm!] ) ~ $/Month ~ | TotalCost= Operating Costs + Switch Delivery Cost * CostOfPoorDelivery - Switch Cancellation Cost\ * Cancellation Revenue ~ $/Month ~ | Retailer Cancellation Cost[firm]= Unit Cost Of Cancellations * Cancellation Rate By Retailer[firm] ~ $/Month ~ | Unit Cost Of Cancellations= Cancellation Cost as Factor of Unit Price * Unit Price Retailer Good ~ $/Unit ~ | Cancellation Cost as Factor of Unit Price= 1 ~ Dmnl ~ | Cancellation Rate By Retailer[firm]= IF THEN ELSE( Desired Cancellation Rate < ( Supplier Backlog / Min Time to Cancel Orders\ ) , Desired Cancellation Rate By Retailer[firm], ( Supplier Backlog / Min Time to Cancel Orders\ ) /2) ~ Units/Month ~ | Desired Cancellation Rate= SUM( Desired Cancellation Rate By Retailer[firm!]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Average Monthly Units Delayed= Shipments to Retailers * Fractional Excess Delivery Delay ~ Unit/Month ~ | Retailer Payoff[firm]= IF THEN ELSE(Time > FINAL TIME-TIME STEP/2,NPV Retailer Net Income[firm],0) ~ $ ~ Note that we use the formula to prevent roundoff problems from causing \ this to misfire. This is normally only necessary when TIME STEP is not a \ power of 1/2 but is good practice in general. | Operating Costs= Variable Costs + Fixed Costs ~ $/Month ~ | CostOfPoorDelivery= Average Monthly Units Delayed * UnitCostDeliveryDelay ~ $/Month ~ | NPV Retailer Net Income[firm]= NPV(Retailer Net Income[firm], Monthly Discount Rate , 0, 1) ~ $ ~ | Backlog Holding Cost Ratio= 2 ~ Dmnl ~ | Retailer Unit Holding Cost= Unit Price Retailer Good * Unit Holding Cost as Fraction of Unit Price ~ $/Unit/Month ~ | Unit Holding Cost as Fraction of Unit Price= 0.2 ~ 1/Month ~ | Retailer Unit Backlog Cost= Retailer Unit Holding Cost * Backlog Holding Cost Ratio ~ $/(Month*Unit) ~ | Retailer Backlog Cost[firm]= Retailer Backlog[firm] * Retailer Unit Backlog Cost ~ $/Month ~ | Retailer Inventory Holding Cost[firm]= Retailer Inventory[firm] * Retailer Unit Holding Cost ~ $/Month ~ | Retailer Net Income[firm]= Total Retailer Revenue[firm] - Total Retailer Cost[firm] ~ $/Month ~ | Time To Perceive Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]= 12,12 ~ Month ~ | Product Attractiveness[firm]= EXP(Sensitivity to Retailer Delivery Delay* Perceived Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]/\ Retailer Delivery Delay Reference) ~ Dmnl ~ | Share of Retailer SL Orders[firm]= Desired Supply Line[firm] / Desired Channel Backlog ~ Dmnl ~ | Total Retailer Cost[firm]= Retailer Backlog Cost[firm] + Retailer Inventory Holding Cost[firm] + Switch Cancellation Cost\ * Retailer Cancellation Cost[firm] ~ $/Month ~ | Unit Price Retailer Good= 40 ~ $/Unit ~ | Total Retailer Revenue[firm]= Unit Price Retailer Good * Order Fulfillment to Customers[firm] ~ $/Month ~ | Perceived Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]= SMOOTH(Retailer Delivery Delay[firm], Time To Perceive Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]\ ) ~ Month ~ | Desired Cancellation Rate By Retailer[firm]= Excess Orders By Retailer[firm] / Time To Cancel Excess ~ Units/Month ~ | Individual Retailer Orders to Supplier[firm]= Max(0,Expected Incoming Orders[firm] + Individual Retailer Backlog Adjustment[firm]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Individual Retailer Backlog Adjustment[firm]= Supplier Backlog Adjustment * Share of Retailer SL Orders[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Cumulative Demand[firm]= INTEG ( Demand Inflow[firm], 0) ~ Units ~ | Time To Cancel Excess= 2 ~ Month ~ | Supply Demand Imbalance[firm]= Orders Received By Retailers[firm] - Cumulative Demand[firm] ~ Units ~ | Demand Inflow[firm]= Incoming Customer Orders[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Orders Received By Retailers[firm]= INTEG ( Orders Received[firm], 0) ~ Units ~ | Excess Orders By Retailer[firm]= Max(0, Supply Demand Imbalance[firm]) ~ Units ~ | Orders Received[firm]= Supplier Orders Received[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Cancellation from SL Excess= Max( 0 , -Total Retailer Demand) ~ Units/Month ~ | Time to Adjust Backlog= 3 ~ Month ~ | Desired Channel Backlog= SUM (Desired Supply Line[firm!]) ~ Units ~ The desired backlog is given by the product of the demand of the firm and \ the expected delivey delay. | Total Retailer Demand= SUM( Expected Incoming Orders[firm!]) + Supplier Backlog Adjustment ~ Units/Month ~ | Supplier Backlog Adjustment= (Desired Channel Backlog - Supplier Backlog )/ Time to Adjust Backlog ~ Units/Month ~ | Expected Supplier Delivery Delay[firm]= (1-Weight Aggressive[firm]) * Table Myopic Strategy(Perceived Supplier Delivery Delay\ [firm]) + Weight Aggressive[firm] * Table Aggressive Strategy ( Perceived Supplier Delivery Delay [firm]) ~ Month ~ This is the customer's expected delivery delay based on the quotes they \ receive from the supplier about delivery delay. Since they do not trust \ the supplier will keep their delivery delay promises they order ahead \ therefore inflating the delivery delay quote. | Table Myopic Strategy( [(0,0)-(5,8)],(0,0),(1,1),(5,5)) ~ Month ~ | Weight Aggressive[firm]= 1,0 ~ Dmnl ~ | Table Aggressive Strategy( [(0,0)-(5,10)],(0,0),(1,1),(1.5,1.8),(2,3.2),(2.5,5),(3,6.8),(3.5,8.2),(4,9.2),(4.5,\ 9.8),(5,10)) ~ Month ~ | Desired Supply Line[firm]= Expected Incoming Orders[firm] * Expected Supplier Delivery Delay[firm] ~ Units ~ The Desired Additional Orders customer one is given by the product of the \ demand of the firm and the expected delivey delay for customer one. | Perceived Orders to Supplier[firm]= SMOOTH(Individual Retailer Orders to Supplier[firm], Time To Perceive Orders To Supplier\ [firm]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Share of Orders Placed[firm]= Perceived Orders to Supplier[firm] / Total Perceived Orders ~ Dmnl ~ | Initial Customer Orders Share[firm]= 0.5 ~ Dmnl ~ | Total Perceived Orders= SUM ( Perceived Orders to Supplier[firm!] ) ~ Units/Month ~ | Time to Average Order Rate[firm]= 3 ~ Month ~ | Initial Incoming Customer Orders[firm]= INITIAL( Initial Channel Demand * Initial Customer Orders Share[firm]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Time To Perceive Orders To Supplier[firm]= 1,1 ~ Month ~ | Minimum Order Processing Time[firm]= 0.5,0.5 ~ Month ~ | Change in Incoming Orders[firm]= (Incoming Customer Orders[firm]-Expected Incoming Orders[firm])/Time to Average Order Rate\ [firm] ~ Units/Month/Month ~ | Order Fulfillment to Customers[firm]= MIN(Shipments to Customers[firm],Maximum Order Fulfillment Rate[firm]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Customer Orders Share[firm]= Product Attractiveness[firm]/Total Product Attractiveness ~ Dmnl ~ | Retailer Backlog[firm]= INTEG ( +Incoming Customer Orders[firm]-Order Fulfillment to Customers[firm], Initial Retailer Backlog[firm]) ~ Units ~ | Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]= Retailer Backlog[firm]/Order Fulfillment to Customers[firm] ~ Month ~ | Desired Shipment Rate[firm]= Retailer Backlog[firm]/Target Retailer Delivery Delay[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Shipments to Customers[firm]= Desired Shipment Rate[firm] * Order Fulfillment Ratio[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Maximum Order Fulfillment Rate[firm]= Retailer Backlog[firm]/Minimum Order Fulfillment Time[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Maximum Retailer Shipment Rate[firm]= Retailer Inventory[firm]/Minimum Order Processing Time[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Expected Incoming Orders[firm]= INTEG ( Change in Incoming Orders[firm], Initial Incoming Customer Orders[firm]) ~ Units/Month ~ | Minimum Order Fulfillment Time[firm]= 0.5,0.5 ~ Month ~ | firm: us,them ~ ~ | Order Fulfillment Ratio[firm]= Table for Retailer Order Fulfillment(Maximum Retailer Shipment Rate[firm]/Desired Shipment Rate\ [firm]) ~ Dmnl ~ | Target Retailer Delivery Delay[firm]= 1,1 ~ Month ~ | Retailer Delivery Delay Reference= 1 ~ Month ~ | Incoming Customer Orders[firm]= Actual Customer Demand * Customer Orders Share[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Initial Retailer Backlog[firm]= INITIAL( Initial Customer Orders Share[firm] * Initial Channel Demand *Target Supplier Delivery Delay\ ) ~ Units ~ | Total Product Attractiveness= SUM(Product Attractiveness[firm!]) ~ Dmnl ~ | Table for Retailer Order Fulfillment( [(0,0)-(2,1)],(0,0),(0.25,0.25),(0.5,0.5),(0.75,0.7),(1,0.85),(1.25,0.95),(1.5,0.99)\ ,(1.75,1),(2,1),(10,1)) ~ Dmnl ~ The fuzzy min table for order fulfillment assumes that given the total mix \ of items produced only a fraction of products will be readily available \ in inventory for shipping. Thus, only 85% of items will be shipped when \ ratio of maximum shipment rate and the desired shipment rate equals \ one.\!\!\! | Sensitivity to Retailer Delivery Delay= -2 ~ Dmnl ~ | Switch Delivery Cost= 0 ~ Dmnl ~ | Fraction Of Variable Costs= 0.5 ~ Dmnl ~ | Unit Capacity Cost= Supplier Unit Costs * ( 1- Fraction Of Variable Costs) ~ $/Unit ~ | Unit Variable Cost= Supplier Unit Costs * Fraction Of Variable Costs ~ $/Unit ~ | Min Time to Cancel Orders= 0.25 ~ Month ~ | Switch Cancellation Cost= 1 ~ Dmnl ~ | Supplier Unit Costs= 20 ~ $/Unit ~ | UnitCostDeliveryDelay= Unit Variable Cost * Variable Cost Factor Due to Delivery Delay ~ $/Unit ~ | Fixed Costs= Unit Capacity Cost * Available Capacity ~ $/Month ~ | SwitchRandom= 0 ~ Dmnl ~ | Variable Costs= Shipments to Retailers * Unit Variable Cost ~ $/Month ~ | Supplier Gross Margin= 0.5 ~ Dmnl ~ | Fractional Excess Delivery Delay= Max( 0 , (Supplier Delivery Delay - Target Supplier Delivery Delay ) / Target Supplier Delivery Delay\ ) ~ Dmnl ~ | Random Shock= RANDOM NORMAL(-0.15, 0.15, 0, 0.05, 1234) ~ Dmnl ~ | Supplier Unit Price= Supplier Unit Costs * (1 + Supplier Gross Margin) ~ $/Unit ~ | Supplier Payoff= IF THEN ELSE(Time > FINAL TIME-TIME STEP/2,NPV Supplier Profits,0) ~ $ ~ Note that we use the formula to prevent roundoff problems from causing \ this to misfire. This is normally only necessary when TIME STEP is not a \ power of 1/2 but is good practice in general. ~ :SUPPLEMENTARY | Monthly Discount Rate= 0.01 ~ 1/Month ~ | Variable Cost Factor Due to Delivery Delay= 0.2 ~ Dmnl ~ | Supplier Profits= Total Supplier Revenue - TotalCost ~ $/Month ~ | NPV Supplier Profits= NPV(Supplier Profits, Monthly Discount Rate, 0, 1) ~ $ ~ | Total Supplier Revenue= Supplier Unit Price * Shipments to Retailers ~ $/Month ~ | ******************************************************** .Suppliers ********************************************************~ | Initial Backlog= INITIAL( Actual Customer Demand * Target Supplier Delivery Delay) ~ Units ~ | Available Capacity= SMOOTH3I ( Expected Retailer Demand , TimeToBuildCapacity, NormalCapacity) ~ Units/Month ~ | Expected Retailer Demand= SMOOTH(ObservedRetailerDemand,TimeToFormExpectation) ~ Units/Month ~ | Ratio Backlog Capacity= Supplier Backlog / Available Capacity ~ Month ~ ~ :SUPPLEMENTARY | NormalCapacity= 4000 ~ Units/Month ~ | Shipments to Retailers= MIN(Desired Shipment Rate to Retailers, Available Capacity) ~ Units/Month ~ The order fulfillment rate is equal to the desired shipment rate. | TimeToBuildCapacity= 12 ~ Month ~ | TimeToFormExpectation= 2 ~ Month ~ | Supplier Backlog= INTEG ( +ObservedRetailerDemand-Shipments to Retailers - Cancellation Rate, Initial Backlog) ~ Units ~ The backlog of unfilled orders | Desired Shipment Rate to Retailers= Supplier Backlog / Target Supplier Delivery Delay ~ Units/Month ~ | Target Supplier Delivery Delay= 1 ~ Month ~ | Supplier Delivery Delay= Supplier Backlog / Shipments to Retailers ~ Month ~ | ******************************************************** .Customers ********************************************************~ | Retailer Inventory[firm]= INTEG ( Supplier Orders Received[firm] - Shipments to Customers[firm], Actual Customer Demand * Initial Customer Orders Share[firm] * Target Retailer Delivery Delay\ [firm]) ~ Units ~ | Supplier Orders Received[firm]= Shipments to Retailers * Share of Orders Placed[firm] ~ Units/Month ~ | Actual Customer Demand= Initial Channel Demand * (1+ Input) ~ Units/Month ~ Channel demand with an input disturbance. | Initial Channel Demand= 4000 ~ Units/Month ~ Initial Channel demand for chips. without growth adjust or any disturbance. | ******************************************************** .Retailers ********************************************************~ | Cancellation Rate= MIN ( Desired Cancellation Rate, Supplier Backlog / Min Time to Cancel Orders) ~ Units/Month ~ | ObservedRetailerDemand= Max( 0 , Total Retailer Demand) ~ Units/Month ~ Demand for units. | TimeToPerceiveDelay[firm]= 1,1 ~ Month ~ | Perceived Supplier Delivery Delay[firm]= SMOOTH(Supplier Delivery Delay, TimeToPerceiveDelay[firm]) ~ Month ~ | ******************************************************** .Test Inputs ********************************************************~ | Input= Switch Pulse * Pulse Input + Switch Step * Step Input + SwitchRandom * Random Shock ~ Dmnl ~ Input is a dimensionless variable which provides a variety of test input patterns, \ including a step, pulse, sine wave, and random noise. | Pulse Input= Step Height * PULSE(Step Time,Pulse Duration) ~ Dmnl ~ | Pulse Duration= 12 ~ Month ~ | Switch Pulse= 1 ~ Dmnl ~ | Step Input= STEP(Step Height,Step Time) ~ Dmnl ~ | Switch Step= 0 ~ Dmnl ~ | Step Height= 0.1 ~ Dmnl ~ Height of step input to customer orders, as fraction of initial value. | Step Time= 10 ~ Month ~ Time for the step input. | ******************************************************** .Control ********************************************************~ Simulation Control Parameters | FINAL TIME = 200 ~ Month ~ The final time for the simulation. | INITIAL TIME = 0 ~ Month ~ The initial time for the simulation. | SAVEPER = TIME STEP ~ Month ~ The frequency with which output is stored. | TIME STEP = 0.0625 ~ Month ~ The time step for the simulation. | \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Supplier $192-192-192,0,Arial|12|B|0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,75 10,1,Supplier Backlog,1007,444,55,38,3,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,2,48,791,439,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,3,5,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(918,441)| 1,4,5,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(840,441)| 11,5,48,882,441,3,6,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,ObservedRetailerDemand,882,478,45,31,40,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,7,48,1229,440,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,8,10,7,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1184,445)| 1,9,10,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1103,445)| 11,10,48,1147,445,3,6,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,11,Shipments to Retailers,1147,478,54,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,12,Desired Shipment Rate to Retailers,1064,547,61,29,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,13,Supplier Delivery Delay,1154,371,58,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,1,13,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1082,406)| 1,15,10,13,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1183,408)| 10,16,Initial Backlog,1043,383,37,19,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|192-128-192 10,17,Target Supplier Delivery Delay,1055,656,44,34,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,18,1,12,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1025,492)| 1,19,17,12,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1064,596)| 1,20,12,11,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1121,530)| 12,21,48,998,625,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,22,24,21,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(994,598)| 1,23,24,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(994,527)| 11,24,48,994,576,6,4,33,3,0,0,2,0,0,0 10,25,Cancellation Rate,938,576,50,20,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,26,Expected Retailer Demand,780,669,69,28,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,27,TimeToFormExpectation,721,533,54,27,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,28,27,26,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(710,594)| 1,29,6,26,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(775,552)| 10,30,Ratio Backlog Capacity,1140,268,45,34,8,3,2,0,0,0,0,0 1,31,1,30,1,2,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1165,452)| 10,32,Min Time to Cancel Orders,838,563,41,25,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,33,32,25,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(887,534)| 1,34,1,25,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(947,507)| 1,35,37,11,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1149,565)| 1,36,37,30,1,2,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1235,620)| 10,37,Available Capacity,1059,746,49,31,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,38,NormalCapacity,1009,825,43,20,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,39,TimeToBuildCapacity,901,807,56,18,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,40,38,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1026,796)| 1,41,39,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(971,779)| 1,42,26,37,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(874,736)| 10,43,Total Retailer Demand,829,366,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,44,43,5,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(845,401)| 10,45,Cancellation from SL Excess,705,470,66,24,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,46,Supplier Backlog Adjustment,964,294,47,27,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,47,Time to Adjust Backlog,1110,286,39,28,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,48,47,46,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1059,265)| 1,49,46,43,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(926,348)| 1,50,1,46,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(998,350)| 1,51,114,43,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(803,320)| 1,52,43,45,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(775,411)| 1,53,91,46,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1020,236)| 10,54,Cumulative Demand,588,555,59,32,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,55,Orders Received By Retailers,442,556,54,37,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,56,48,448,421,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,57,59,55,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(446,492)| 1,58,59,56,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(446,441)| 11,59,48,446,460,8,6,33,3,0,0,2,0,0,0 10,60,Orders Received,400,460,38,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,61,48,604,420,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,62,64,54,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(604,495)| 1,63,64,61,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(604,442)| 11,64,48,604,462,8,6,33,3,0,0,2,0,0,0 10,65,Demand Inflow,556,462,40,23,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,66,Supply Demand Imbalance,505,675,65,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,67,54,66,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(570,629)| 1,68,55,66,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(433,633)| 10,69,Excess Orders By Retailer,597,756,44,31,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,70,66,69,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(550,713)| 1,71,122,65,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(526,397)| 10,72,Supplier Orders Received,414,758,52,28,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,73,72,60,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(356,582)| 10,74,Desired Cancellation Rate By Retailer,763,773,71,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,75,69,74,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(683,775)| 10,76,Time To Cancel Excess,732,861,47,24,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,77,76,74,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(762,800)| 10,78,Expected Supplier Delivery Delay,1209,188,62,27,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,79,Table Aggressive Strategy,1368,129,70,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|0-0-255 10,80,Weight Aggressive,1384,183,46,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|0-128-0 1,81,79,78,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1300,153)| 1,82,80,78,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1311,184)| 10,83,Desired Supply Line,1140,100,48,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,84,78,83,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1226,135)| 10,85,Perceived Supplier Delivery Delay,1254,286,64,33,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,86,TimeToPerceiveDelay,1358,404,59,24,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,87,86,85,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1358,337)| 1,88,85,78,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1244,231)| 10,89,Table Myopic Strategy,1381,246,54,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|0-0-255 1,90,89,78,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1305,220)| 10,91,Desired Channel Backlog,1038,191,44,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,92,83,91,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1121,150)| 10,93,Share of Retailer SL Orders,987,93,43,26,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,94,91,93,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1009,129)| 1,95,83,93,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1081,79)| 1,96,13,85,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1190,340)| 10,97,Share of Orders Placed,309,424,44,31,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,98,Perceived Orders to Supplier,476,156,57,32,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,99,Time To Perceive Orders To Supplier,507,56,45,36,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,100,99,98,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(447,100)| 1,101,106,98,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(534,118)| 10,102,Total Perceived Orders,305,254,54,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,103,98,102,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(368,178)| 1,104,98,97,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(349,320)| 1,105,102,97,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(291,329)| 10,106,Individual Retailer Orders to Supplier,625,117,47,30,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,107,Individual Retailer Backlog Adjustment,864,144,52,37,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,108,107,106,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(774,96)| 1,109,114,106,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(717,170)| 1,110,93,107,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(932,89)| 1,111,46,107,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(920,229)| 1,112,114,83,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(890,16)| 1,113,97,72,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(305,555)| 10,114,Expected Incoming Orders,778,277,53,30,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,115,116,114,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(693,282)| 11,116,1164,657,282,5,6,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,117,Change in Incoming Orders,657,313,44,25,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,118,114,117,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(754,317)| 10,119,Initial Incoming Customer Orders,873,238,50,32,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|192-128-192 10,120,Time to Average Order Rate,630,220,65,19,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,121,120,116,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(643,251)| 10,122,Incoming Customer Orders,501,340,43,28,8,2,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,123,122,117,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(571,327)| 10,124,Actual Customer Demand,1051,419,72,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,125,Initial Channel Demand,843,262,62,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,126,Initial Customer Orders Share,824,256,68,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,127,11,72,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1172,661)| 10,128,Desired Cancellation Rate,913,695,54,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,129,74,128,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(871,757)| 1,130,128,25,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(940,644)| 1,131,16,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(1034,398)| 1,132,124,16,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(1048,407)| 1,133,17,16,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(1048,518)| 1,134,119,114,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(833,253)| 1,135,126,119,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(842,248)| 1,136,125,119,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(844,260)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Retailers $192-192-192,0,Arial|12|B|0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,75 10,1,Retailer Inventory,672,527,59,32,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,2,48,493,520,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,3,5,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(574,523)| 1,4,5,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(513,523)| 11,5,48,529,523,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,Supplier Orders Received,529,559,64,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,7,Actual Customer Demand,447,299,48,25,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,8,7,29,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(509,321)| 10,9,Customer Orders Share,561,257,54,19,72,3,0,32,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 10,10,Product Attractiveness,678,165,58,19,72,3,0,32,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 1,11,10,9,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(577,192)| 10,12,Total Product Attractiveness,480,190,58,19,72,3,0,32,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 1,13,10,12,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(554,137)| 1,14,12,9,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(487,230)| 10,15,Retailer Delivery Delay Reference,762,98,66,19,72,3,0,32,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 10,16,Sensitivity to Retailer Delivery Delay,494,103,86,25,72,3,0,32,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 1,17,9,28,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(567,288)| 12,18,48,892,528,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,19,21,18,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(847,528)| 1,20,21,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(765,528)| 11,21,48,806,528,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,22,Shipments to Customers,806,555,54,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,23,Share of Orders Placed,409,649,62,19,8,2,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,24,Retailer Backlog,678,320,46,35,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 12,25,48,545,310,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,26,28,24,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(613,309)| 1,27,28,25,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(569,309)| 11,28,48,589,309,5,6,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,29,Incoming Customer Orders,589,351,51,36,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,30,48,834,308,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,31,33,30,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(808,308)| 1,32,33,24,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(753,308)| 11,33,48,788,308,5,6,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,34,Order Fulfillment to Customers,788,343,53,29,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,35,Retailer Delivery Delay,823,245,48,31,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,36,24,35,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(781,280)| 10,37,Initial Retailer Backlog,637,409,38,26,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|192-128-192 1,38,33,35,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(810,284)| 10,39,Shipments to Retailers,370,579,58,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,40,23,6,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(478,611)| 1,41,39,6,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(441,592)| 10,42,Minimum Order Processing Time,798,715,68,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 10,43,Desired Shipment Rate,924,413,59,19,8,3,0,48,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 10,44,Maximum Retailer Shipment Rate,736,628,69,27,8,3,0,48,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|128-128-128 1,45,42,44,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(735,670)| 10,46,Order Fulfillment Ratio,884,612,67,19,8,3,0,48,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-0 10,47,Table for Retailer Order Fulfillment,928,675,60,27,8,3,0,34,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,Helvetica|12|B|0-0-255 1,48,47,46,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(959,637)| 1,49,21,34,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(844,435)| 1,50,43,46,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(959,478)| 1,51,43,21,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(903,484)| 1,52,46,22,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(875,561)| 1,53,1,44,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(668,576)| 1,54,44,46,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(817,637)| 1,55,24,43,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(824,284)| 10,56,Target Retailer Delivery Delay,998,350,59,19,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 10,57,Maximum Order Fulfillment Rate,745,422,64,19,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,58,Minimum Order Fulfillment Time,614,464,64,19,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,59,58,57,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(689,458)| 1,60,56,43,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(979,390)| 1,61,24,57,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(680,372)| 1,62,57,34,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(787,393)| 1,63,15,10,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(725,127)| 1,64,16,10,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(640,126)| 10,65,Initial Customer Orders Share,343,200,63,19,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,66,Target Supplier Delivery Delay,452,486,67,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,67,Perceived Retailer Delivery Delay,861,163,63,27,3,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,68,Time To Perceive Retailer Delivery Delay,974,270,69,28,8,3,0,2,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-128-0 1,69,68,67,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(909,231)| 1,70,35,67,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(873,232)| 1,71,67,10,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(767,154)| 10,72,Initial Channel Demand,309,308,62,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,73,7,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(550,404)| 1,74,65,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(495,352)| 1,75,56,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(853,428)| 1,76,37,24,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(651,375)| 1,77,72,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(477,359)| 1,78,66,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(541,448)| 1,79,65,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,1,-1--1--1,,1|(478,296)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Supplier Costs and Profits $192-192-192,0,Arial|12|B|0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,75 10,1,Fractional Excess Delivery Delay,1192,416,72,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,2,UnitCostDeliveryDelay,884,322,63,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,3,Fixed Costs,951,680,36,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,4,Unit Capacity Cost,1164,673,58,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,5,TotalCost,464,531,28,23,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,6,Available Capacity,1171,729,57,26,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,7,Variable Cost Factor Due to Delivery Delay,983,253,86,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,8,6,3,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1060,714)| 1,9,4,3,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1053,672)| 10,10,NPV Supplier Profits,337,655,54,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,11,Monthly Discount Rate,195,655,42,34,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,12,11,10,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(253,655)| 10,13,Supplier Payoff,365,725,34,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,10,13,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(361,680)| 10,15,Supplier Delivery Delay,1360,383,86,22,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,16,Target Supplier Delivery Delay,1372,457,80,33,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,17,16,1,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1284,440)| 1,18,15,1,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1271,399)| 10,19,Total Supplier Revenue,290,444,56,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,20,Supplier Unit Price,249,361,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,21,Shipments to Retailers,1162,506,58,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,22,20,19,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(265,396)| 10,23,Supplier Profits,331,555,34,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,24,19,23,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(330,500)| 1,25,23,10,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(331,592)| 1,26,5,23,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(401,557)| 10,27,FINAL TIME,241,739,56,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,28,27,13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(307,731)| 10,29,Time,280,790,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,30,29,13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(311,765)| 10,31,TIME STEP,352,839,54,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,32,31,13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(356,792)| 10,33,CostOfPoorDelivery,699,359,56,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,34,2,33,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(791,328)| 10,35,Variable Costs,943,574,46,22,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,36,Unit Variable Cost,1157,610,52,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,37,21,35,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1040,525)| 1,38,36,35,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1053,592)| 10,39,Supplier Unit Costs,1475,618,64,34,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,40,Supplier Gross Margin,231,261,60,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,41,40,20,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(238,304)| 10,42,Supplier Unit Costs,356,307,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,43,42,20,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(308,330)| 10,44,Switch Cancellation Cost,460,634,54,26,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-0-0 1,45,21,60,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1081,464)| 1,46,1,60,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1095,416)| 10,47,Unit Variable Cost,1133,259,56,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,48,47,2,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1022,315)| 10,49,Shipments to Retailers,155,407,71,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,50,49,19,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(240,459)| 1,51,39,36,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1347,562)| 1,52,39,4,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1392,678)| 10,53,Fraction Of Variable Costs,1307,619,60,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,54,53,36,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1234,615)| 1,55,53,4,0,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1242,643)| 1,56,33,5,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(578,399)| 10,57,Switch Delivery Cost,436,390,54,19,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-0-0 1,58,57,5,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(434,456)| 1,59,7,2,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(887,276)| 10,60,Average Monthly Units Delayed,988,416,68,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,61,60,33,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(880,412)| 10,62,Operating Costs,695,582,40,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,63,35,62,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(822,577)| 1,64,3,62,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(831,634)| 1,65,62,5,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(580,557)| 1,66,44,5,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(459,572)| 10,67,Cancellation Revenue,566,653,50,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,68,67,5,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(521,599)| 10,69,Retailer Cancellation Cost,613,760,76,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,70,69,67,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(592,712)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Retailer Payoff $192-192-192,0,Arial|12|B|0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,75 10,1,Total Retailer Cost,476,415,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,2,Retailer Payoff,320,740,45,24,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,3,Total Retailer Revenue,290,401,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,4,Unit Price Retailer Good,263,302,55,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,5,4,3,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(274,344)| 10,6,Retailer Net Income,315,505,50,25,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,7,3,6,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(318,453)| 1,8,1,6,1,0,45,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(417,495)| 10,9,Retailer Inventory Holding Cost,789,380,71,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,10,Retailer Backlog Cost,796,516,55,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,11,Retailer Unit Holding Cost,977,389,53,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,Retailer Unit Backlog Cost,976,552,55,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,13,9,1,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(630,397)| 1,14,10,1,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(641,467)| 1,15,12,10,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(892,535)| 1,16,11,9,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(898,385)| 10,17,Retailer Backlog,870,591,39,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 10,18,Retailer Inventory,844,446,43,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,19,18,9,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(821,418)| 1,20,17,10,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(838,558)| 10,21,Order Fulfillment to Customers,129,364,71,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,22,21,3,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(211,382)| 10,23,Monthly Discount Rate,156,618,57,19,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,24,FINAL TIME,160,717,56,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,25,24,2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(238,728)| 10,26,Time,316,834,30,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,27,26,2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(316,800)| 10,28,TIME STEP,176,778,54,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,29,28,2,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(239,760)| 10,30,Unit Holding Cost as Fraction of Unit Price,1149,469,84,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,31,30,11,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1051,429)| 10,32,Unit Price Retailer Good,1131,334,60,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,33,32,11,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1060,359)| 1,34,11,12,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1003,490)| 10,35,Backlog Holding Cost Ratio,1157,601,67,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,36,35,12,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1067,576)| 10,37,NPV Retailer Net Income,313,622,51,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,38,6,37,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(302,576)| 1,39,23,37,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(230,619)| 1,40,37,2,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(315,671)| 1,41,44,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(639,322)| 10,42,Switch Cancellation Cost,466,302,76,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,43,42,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(469,351)| 10,44,Retailer Cancellation Cost,790,236,71,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,45,46,44,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(872,234)| 10,46,Unit Cost Of Cancellations,959,251,55,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,47,Cancellation Rate By Retailer,840,305,69,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12|B|128-128-128 1,48,47,44,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(819,276)| 1,49,32,46,1,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1050,292)| 10,50,Cancellation Cost as Factor of Unit Price,1125,198,83,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,51,50,46,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1046,222)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Test Inputs $192-192-192,0,Arial|12|B|0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,75 10,1,Actual Customer Demand,549,479,51,29,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,2,Initial Channel Demand,412,473,49,27,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,3,2,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(472,475)| 10,4,Input,573,328,20,10,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,5,4,1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(563,387)| 10,6,Step Height,772,388,32,20,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,7,Step Time,752,332,31,17,8,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,8,Step Input,677,319,24,17,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,9,6,8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(728,356)| 1,10,7,8,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(717,326)| 1,11,8,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(629,322)| 10,12,Switch Step,650,260,30,22,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-0-0 1,13,12,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(610,295)| 10,14,Pulse Input,669,387,44,10,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,15,Switch Pulse,501,268,31,17,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-0-0 1,16,7,14,0,0,43,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(711,359)| 1,17,6,14,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(733,387)| 1,18,14,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(626,361)| 1,19,15,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(535,297)| 10,20,Pulse Duration,730,467,38,20,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,21,20,14,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(699,427)| 10,22,SwitchRandom,560,221,45,23,8,3,0,2,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|12|B|255-0-0 10,23,Random Shock,439,345,61,11,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,24,22,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(565,274)| 1,25,23,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(519,335)| ///---\\\ :GRAPH INVENTORIES :TITLE INVENTORIES :GRAPH-STYLE 3 :SCALE :VAR Backlog :VAR Work In Process :VAR Inventory :GRAPH SHIPMENT_RATE :TITLE Shipment Rate :SCALE :VAR Available Capacity :VAR Desired Shipment Rate :GRAPH PRODUCTION :TITLE Production :SCALE :VAR Desired Production Start Rate :VAR Production Start Rate :VAR Completion Rate :GRAPH BACKLOG :TITLE backlog :SCALE :VAR Backlog :SCALE :VAR Firm Demand :VAR Order Fulfillment Rate :GRAPH FIRM_DEMAND :TITLE Firm demand :SCALE :VAR Firm Demand :VAR Actual Demand :SCALE :VAR Desired Backlog :VAR Backlog :GRAPH ORDERS :TITLE orders :SCALE :VAR Firm Demand :VAR Order Fulfillment Rate :VAR Desired Shipment Rate :GRAPH INVENTORY :TITLE Inventory :SCALE :VAR Completion Rate :VAR Shipments :SCALE :VAR Inventory :L<%^E!@ 1:C:\Documents and Settings\pgocalves\Desktop\2004 Game Bubbles\Bubble Model\Bubble_AM.vdf 1:C:\Documents and Settings\pgocalves\Desktop\2004 Game Bubbles\Bubble Model\Bubble_MA.vdf 1:C:\Documents and Settings\pgocalves\Desktop\2004 Game Bubbles\Bubble Model\Bubble_MM.vdf 1:C:\Documents and Settings\pgocalves\Desktop\2004 Game Bubbles\Bubble Model\Bubble_AA.vdf 9:Bubble_AM 22:$,Dollar,Dollars,$s 22:Day,Days 22:Hour,Hours 22:Month,Months 22:Person,People,Persons 22:Unit,Units 22:Week,Weeks 22:Year,Years 11:PhantomDemand_V1.voc 12:PhantomDemand_V1.vpd 18:Bubble_v1.vsc 20:Bubble_v1.lst 15:1,0,0,0,0,0 19:75,4 27:2, 4:Time 5:Switch Delivery Cost 24:0 25:200 26:200 6:them 6:us