{UTF-8} ******************************************************** .wind diffusion model - separated views ********************************************************~ Basic Diffusion model for wind energy | avg WGC IB= Generation Capacity installed base/Turbine Installed Base ~ GW / turbine ~ | upfront investment costs= initial upfront project costs*exp(marginal rotor diameter*project cost rotor exponent\ ) *(1 - investment subsidy ) ~ $ / turbine ~ | annual breakeven costs= annual maintenance cost+normalized upfront investments ~ $ / turbine ~ | annuity factor= (1-(1/(1+interest rate)^avg turbine lifetime))/(interest rate) ~ dimensionless ~ | unit revenue= electricity price*electricity price discount factor + price production incentive ~ $ / (kW * hr) ~ | hours per year= 24*365 ~ hr ~ | annual expected revenues= unit revenue*expected annual energy ~ $ / turbine ~ | expected annual energy= hours per year*marginal turbine power rating*kW per GW turbine*marginal install capacity factor ~ kW * hr / turbine ~ | annual maintenance cost= (hours per year*marginal install capacity factor*marginal turbine power rating*maintenance costs per unit energy\ ) ~ $ / turbine ~ | Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Installation Capacity= Function for Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Capacity(expected profitability ratio\ ) ~ dimensionless ~ | effect of relative profitability on desired turbine capacity= function for effect of relative profitability(expected profitability ratio) ~ dimensionless ~ probit was not a steep enough S-curve drop; using look-up function instead \ - if marginal CF much less than breakeven, then there should be no \ installations | capacity adjustment time= 5 ~ Years ~ | project cost rotor exponent= 0.0265 ~ dimensionless ~ | electricity price discount factor= 0.5+0.4*STEP(1,2001) ~ dimensionless ~ | initial upfront project costs= 250000 ~ $/turbine ~ | electricity price= function for electricity price(Time) ~ $/(kW*hr) ~ | function for electricity price( [(1975,0)-(2010,0.2)],(1975,0.113352),(1976,0.1125),(1977,0.120161),(1978,0.124873),\ (1979,0.124386),(1980,0.130723),(1981,0.137623),(1982,0.150801),(1983,0.145947),(1984\ ,0.135183),(1985,0.1344),(1986,0.1295),(1987,0.1131),(1988,0.128),(1989,0.1375),(1990\ ,0.1374),(1991,0.12775),(1992,0.12595),(1993,0.1314),(1994,0.1286),(1995,0.1295),(1996\ ,0.1335),(1997,0.13365),(1998,0.144),(1999,0.15045),(2000,0.15735),(2001,0.1575),(2002\ ,0.17095),(2003,0.1776),(2004,0.17375),(2005,0.18015),(2006,0.19725),(2007,0.2128),\ (2008,0.2128),(2009,0.2128)) ~ dimensionless ~ lookup function for electricty price based on year | marginal turbine power rating= initial power rating*(marginal rotor diameter^rotor power exponent) ~ GW / turbine ~ | capacity factor project start rate= (marginal install capacity factor/unit turbine)*max(0,turbine project start rate-turbine replacement rate\ ) ~ 1 / Year ~ | proportion turbines replaced= 1 ~ dimensionless [0,1] ~ | initial power rating= 2e-007 ~ GW / turbine ~ | rotor power exponent= 2.0649 ~ dimensionless ~ | turbine project start rate= (turbine industry installation capacity*effect of relative profitability on desired turbine capacity\ *effect of population density)/avg start decision time ~ turbines / Year ~ | capacity factor decommission rate= avg CF IB*Turbine Decomission Rate*(1-proportion turbines replaced) ~ 1 / Year ~ | generation capacity project start rate= turbine project start rate*marginal turbine power rating ~ GW / Year ~ | new site project start rate= turbine project start rate-turbine replacement rate ~ turbines / Year ~ | turbine replacement rate= proportion turbines replaced*Turbine Decomission Rate ~ turbines / Year ~ | land project start rate= land used per turbine*max(0,turbine project start rate-turbine replacement rate) ~ meters*meters/Years ~ | land use decommission rate= avg LU IB*Turbine Decomission Rate*(1-proportion turbines replaced) ~ (meters * meters ) / Year ~ | marginal rotor diameter= function marginal rotor diameter(Time) ~ meters ~ | function marginal rotor diameter( [(1970,1)-(2100,100)],(1975,20),(1976,20),(1978,20),(1979,20),(1980,21),(1981,21),(1982\ ,21),(1983,21),(1984,21),(1985,21),(1986,21),(1987,21),(1988,21),(1989,22),(1990,22\ ),(1991,23),(1992,23),(1993,24),(1994,25),(1995,26),(1996,27),(1997,29),(1998,31),(\ 1999,34),(2000,37),(2001,41),(2002,43),(2003,46),(2004,48),(2005,52),(2006,56),(2007\ ,59),(2008,63),(2009,64),(2010,65)) ~ meters ~ lookup for rotor diameter by year of simulation | land use installed base= INTEG ( land construction rate-land use decommission rate, (Government demo Projects/initial turbine power rating)*(turbine spacing*marginal rotor diameter\ ^2)) ~ meters * meters ~ | additional turbine potential= Potential Land for Installation/land used per turbine ~ turbines ~ | industry capacity growth rate= (2*Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Installation Capacity*turbine industry installation capacity\ - turbine industry installation capacity ) / capacity adjustment time ~ turbines / (Year * Year) ~ | industry capacity loss rate= turbine industry installation capacity/avg capacity lifetime ~ turbines/(Year*Year) ~ | turbine industry installation capacity= INTEG ( industry capacity growth rate-industry capacity loss rate, initial industry capacity) ~ turbines/Year ~ | function for effect of relative profitability( [(0,0)-(3,1)],(0,0),(0.2,0),(0.4,0),(0.6,0.05),(0.8,0.15),(1,0.35),(1.2,0.55),(1.4,0.7\ ),(1.6,0.83),(1.8,0.92),(2,0.97),(2.2,0.99),(2.4,1),(2.6,1),(2.8,1),(3,1)) ~ dimensionless ~ look up for the effect on the relative profitability of new sites | avg capacity lifetime= 20 ~ Years ~ | function for effect of land use on population( [(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,1),(0.1,1),(0.2,0.99),(0.3,0.92),(0.4,0.79),(0.5,0.6),(0.6,0.37),(0.7\ ,0.18),(0.8,0.08),(0.9,0.02),(1,0)) ~ dimensionless ~ lookup for how land use percent correlates to percent population affect \ (depends on population density profile) | effect of population density= population resistance strength*percent population affected ~ dimensionless ~ NIMBY resistance to wind development | percent population affected= function for effect of land use on population(land use installed base/total potential land\ ) ~ dimensionless ~ | population resistance strength= 0.5 ~ dimensionless ~ | turbine permit fail rate= turbines undergoing permitting*permit fail ratio ~ turbines/Year ~ | Annual Generation= Generation Capacity installed base*capacity factor installed base*hours per year ~ GW*hr ~ | permit fail ratio= 0.5 ~ dimensionless [0,1,0.05] ~ | construction fail ratio= 0 ~ dimensionless [0,1,0.05] ~ | turbine construction stop rate= turbines under construction*construction fail ratio ~ turbines/Year ~ | turbines under construction= INTEG ( turbine permitting rate-Turbine construction Rate-turbine construction stop rate, 1) ~ turbines ~ | turbines undergoing permitting= INTEG ( turbine project start rate-turbine permitting rate-turbine permit fail rate, 1) ~ turbines ~ | avg CF IB= capacity factor installed base/Turbine Installed Base ~ dimensionless ~ | capacity factor permitting rate= avg CF UP*turbine permitting rate ~ 1 / Year ~ | avg CF UC= capacity factor under construction/turbines under construction ~ 1/turbines ~ | turbine permitting rate= turbines undergoing permitting/avg permitting time ~ turbines / Year ~ | Turbine Installed Base= INTEG ( Turbine construction Rate-Turbine Decomission Rate, Government demo Projects/initial turbine power rating) ~ turbines ~ | land permit rate= avg LU UP*turbine permitting rate ~ meters*meters / Year ~ | avg LU IB= land use installed base / Turbine Installed Base ~ (meters * meters ) / turbine ~ | land construction rate= avg LU UC*Turbine construction Rate ~ meters*meters / Year ~ | marginal install capacity factor= max capacity factor*function for CF by land use(land use installed base/total potential land\ ) ~ dimensionless ~ | capacity factor under construction= INTEG ( capacity factor permitting rate-capacity factor construction rate, 0) ~ dimensionless ~ | capacity factor undergoing permitting= INTEG ( capacity factor project start rate-capacity factor permitting rate, Government demo Projects) ~ dimensionless ~ | avg CF UP= capacity factor undergoing permitting/turbines undergoing permitting ~ 1 / turbines ~ | avg WGC UP= generation capacity under permitting/turbines undergoing permitting ~ GW / turbine ~ | generation capacity permitting rate= avg WGC UP*turbine permitting rate ~ GW / Year ~ | avg WGC UC= generation capacity under construction/turbines under construction ~ GW / turbine ~ | generation capacity under permitting= INTEG ( generation capacity project start rate-generation capacity permitting rate, 0) ~ GW ~ | generation capacity construction rate= Turbine construction Rate*avg WGC UC ~ GW / Year ~ | generation capacity under construction= INTEG ( generation capacity permitting rate-generation capacity construction rate, 0) ~ GW ~ | capacity factor construction rate= avg CF UC*Turbine construction Rate ~ 1 / Year ~ | Generation Capacity installed base= INTEG ( generation capacity construction rate-generation capacity decommission rate, Government demo Projects) ~ GW [0,?] ~ | land under construction= INTEG ( land permit rate-land construction rate, 0) ~ meters*meters ~ | avg LU UC= land under construction/turbines under construction ~ meters*meters / turbines ~ | avg LU UP= land under permitting/turbines undergoing permitting ~ meters*meters / turbines ~ | Potential Land for Installation= INTEG ( land use decommission rate-land project start rate, total potential land) ~ meters * meters ~ | land under permitting= INTEG ( land project start rate-land permit rate, 0) ~ meters*meters ~ | expected profitability ratio= annual expected revenues/annual breakeven costs ~ dimensionless ~ | avg permitting time= 0.2 ~ Years [0,2,0.02] ~ | avg start decision time= 1 ~ Year [0,1,0.02] ~ | unit turbine= 1 ~ turbine ~ | Turbine construction Rate= turbines under construction/avg turbine construction time ~ turbines / Year ~ | normalized upfront investments= upfront investment costs/annuity factor ~ $/turbine ~ | Function for Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Capacity( [(0,0)-(2,1.25)],(0,0),(0.2,0.05),(0.4,0.2),(0.6,0.4),(0.8,0.75),(1,1),(1.2,1.1),(1.4\ ,1.15),(1.6,1.2),(1.8,1.23),(2,1.25)) ~ dimensionless ~ LOOKUP FOR effective profitability to turbine install capacity | initial industry capacity= 1000 ~ turbines / Year [0,1e+008] ~ 9153 turbines installed prior to 1980 in unknown years | total turbine installation experience= INTEG ( turbine installation rate cumulative-installation experience loss rate, initial turbine installation experience) ~ turbines ~ | initial turbine installation experience= 1000 ~ turbines ~ | capacity factor installed base= INTEG ( capacity factor construction rate-capacity factor decommission rate, (Government demo Projects/initial power rating)/unit turbine) ~ dimensionless ~ | installation experience loss rate= total turbine installation experience*experience loss rate ~ turbines / Year ~ | maintenance costs per unit energy= 7000 ~ $ / (GW * hr) ~ | kW per GW turbine= 1e+006 ~ kW / GW ~ | function for CF by land use( [(0,0)-(1,1)],(0,0.5),(0.05,0.4),(0.15,0.3),(0.25,0.2),(1,0)) ~ dimensionless ~ lookup function for capacity factor for sites as a function of available \ land | max capacity factor= 0.5 ~ dimensionless ~ | turbine installation rate cumulative= Turbine construction Rate ~ turbines / Year ~ | generation capacity decommission rate= Turbine Decomission Rate*avg WGC IB ~ GW / Year ~ | experience loss rate= 0 ~ 1 / Years ~ | land used per turbine= turbine spacing*(marginal rotor diameter)^2 ~ (meters * meters) / turbines ~ | turbine spacing= 30 ~ 1 / turbines ~ | initial turbine power rating= 0.0001 ~ GW / turbine ~ | avg turbine lifetime= 25 ~ Years [0,200] ~ | Turbine Decomission Rate= Turbine Installed Base/avg turbine lifetime ~ turbines / Year ~ | Decomissioned Turbines= INTEG ( Turbine Decomission Rate, 0) ~ turbines ~ | total potential land= 4.99401e+011 ~ meters * meters [0,7e+012,100000] ~ | avg turbine construction time= 0.2 ~ Years [0,2,0.02] ~ | Government demo Projects= 0.0001 ~ GW ~ government projects to kickstart industry | investment subsidy= 0.3*STEP(1,2001) ~ $ / GW ~ | interest rate= 0.08 ~ dimensionless ~ | price production incentive= 0 ~ $/(kW*hr) ~ | ******************************************************** .Control ********************************************************~ Simulation Control Parameters | FINAL TIME = 2100 ~ Year ~ The final time for the simulation. | INITIAL TIME = 1975 ~ Year ~ The initial time for the simulation. | SAVEPER = TIME STEP ~ Year [0,?] ~ The frequency with which output is stored. | TIME STEP = 0.25 ~ Year [0,?] ~ The time step for the simulation. | \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Turbine Footprint - land use $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 10,1,Potential Land for Installation,343,571,84,55,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,2,land use installed base,1368,579,81,49,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,3,5,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(343,362)| 1,4,5,2,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1374,449)| 11,5,1196,1374,362,8,6,33,3,0,0,3,0,0,0 10,6,land use decommission rate,1374,333,82,23,40,131,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,7,Government demo Projects,236,465,63,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,8,land used per turbine,343,688,58,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,9,turbine spacing,248,801,33,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,10,9,8,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(288,734)| 10,11,land under permitting,683,577,65,40,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,12,land under construction,1013,571,67,34,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,13,15,12,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(899,583)| 1,14,15,11,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(794,583)| 11,15,1900,847,583,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,16,land permit rate,847,614,50,23,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,17,19,2,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1238,575)| 1,18,19,12,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1128,575)| 11,19,1676,1183,575,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,20,land construction rate,1183,606,74,23,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,21,23,11,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(573,576)| 1,22,23,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(471,576)| 11,23,1212,522,576,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,24,land project start rate,522,607,52,23,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,25,8,24,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(413,661)| 10,26,initial turbine power rating,19,547,45,19,8,130,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|18||128-128-128 10,27,total potential land,239,412,68,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 10,28,initial industry capacity,242,359,70,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,29,7,2,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(786,519)| 1,30,9,2,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(777,696)| 10,31,marginal rotor diameter,1368,651,70,23,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,32,31,2,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(1368,628)| 10,33,proportion turbines replaced,1374,435,81,23,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,34,33,6,0,1,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1374,391)| 10,35,marginal rotor diameter,363,232,49,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,36,marginal rotor diameter,363,818,70,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,37,36,8,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(362,749)| 1,38,27,1,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(276,469)| 1,39,26,2,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(668,562)| 10,40,avg LU IB,1239,253,57,13,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,41,40,6,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1291,284)| 10,42,Turbine Decomission Rate,1152,302,86,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,43,42,6,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1258,316)| 10,44,avg LU UP,900,744,62,11,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,45,44,16,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(878,691)| 10,46,turbine permitting rate,783,734,71,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,47,46,16,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(811,680)| 10,48,avg LU UC,1252,731,63,11,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,49,48,20,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1223,680)| 10,50,Turbine construction Rate,1114,734,84,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,51,50,20,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1144,676)| 10,52,turbine project start rate,580,732,71,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,53,52,24,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(554,675)| 10,54,turbine replacement rate,458,730,78,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,55,54,24,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(486,674)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Turbine Installations $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|16||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 12,1,0,783,1310,21,21,4,132,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 B 12,2,0,797,1378,108,29,8,4,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 Market Saturation - Resource Depletion 10,3,Turbine Installed Base,2128,739,88,59,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,4,5,3,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1953,746)| 11,5,172,1860,746,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,Turbine construction Rate,1860,783,96,29,40,131,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,7,avg turbine construction time,1854,933,95,29,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,8,7,6,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1856,864)| 10,9,Decomissioned Turbines,2125,1151,94,59,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,10,12,9,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(2133,987)| 1,11,12,3,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(2133,832)| 11,12,2028,2133,875,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,13,Turbine Decomission Rate,2133,912,99,29,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,14,3,12,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2230,768)| 10,15,avg WGC IB,2249,423,70,14,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,16,3,15,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2193,565)| 10,17,avg LU IB,2004,429,55,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,18,3,17,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2060,569)| 10,19,turbines under construction,1580,751,96,56,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,20,turbines undergoing permitting,1121,742,97,67,3,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 12,21,48,535,734,10,8,0,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,22,24,20,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(916,741)| 1,23,24,21,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(670,741)| 11,24,48,802,741,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,25,turbine project start rate,802,778,80,29,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,26,28,19,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1419,756)| 1,27,28,20,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1280,756)| 11,28,876,1349,756,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,29,turbine permitting rate,1349,793,80,29,40,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,30,5,19,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1765,746)| 10,31,avg permitting time,1348,935,78,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,32,31,29,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1348,871)| 1,33,20,28,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1280,670)| 1,34,19,5,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1680,665)| 10,35,avg start decision time,872,569,72,29,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,36,35,25,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(839,666)| 12,37,0,768,1025,45,29,8,4,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 industry growth 12,38,0,776,966,20,20,4,4,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 R 10,39,avg CF UC,1587,420,59,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,40,avg LU UC,1455,424,60,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,41,avg WGC UC,1714,423,74,14,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,42,avg CF UP,1116,420,58,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,43,avg LU UP,957,422,59,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,44,avg WGC UP,1265,417,73,14,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,45,19,40,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1512,574)| 1,46,20,43,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1029,562)| 1,47,20,42,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1118,562)| 1,48,19,39,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1583,572)| 1,49,20,44,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1201,559)| 1,50,19,41,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1652,572)| 10,51,initial turbine power rating,2128,821,80,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,52,51,3,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(2128,802)| 10,53,avg CF IB,2126,418,55,16,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,54,3,53,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2127,563)| 12,55,48,1066,960,10,8,0,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,56,58,55,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1068,924)| 1,57,58,20,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1068,847)| 11,58,48,1068,891,8,6,33,3,0,0,4,0,0,0 10,59,turbine permit fail rate,1154,891,78,29,40,131,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 12,60,48,1516,940,10,8,0,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,61,63,60,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1510,905)| 1,62,63,19,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1510,837)| 11,63,48,1510,873,8,6,33,3,0,0,4,0,0,0 10,64,turbine construction stop rate,1627,873,109,29,40,131,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,65,20,59,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1142,829)| 10,66,permit fail ratio,1208,996,56,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,67,construction fail ratio,1663,1013,88,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,68,66,59,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1165,927)| 1,69,19,64,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1605,818)| 1,70,67,64,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1652,929)| 10,71,effect of relative profitability on desired turbine capacity,529,1250,123,43,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,72,function for effect of relative profitability,1029,1585,114,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,73,72,71,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(695,1503)| 10,74,turbine industry installation capacity,893,1246,116,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,75,74,25,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(668,1023)| 1,76,71,25,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(602,901)| 10,77,effect of population density,625,465,100,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,78,percent population affected,343,755,105,29,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,79,land use installed base,321,1179,81,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,80,77,25,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(768,597)| 10,81,function for effect of land use on population,319,1353,123,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,82,81,78,1,0,0,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(225,1038)| 1,83,79,78,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(289,956)| 1,84,78,77,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(421,516)| 10,85,total potential land,363,1006,82,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,86,85,78,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(331,874)| 12,87,0,553,558,21,21,4,132,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 B 12,88,0,553,646,144,43,8,132,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 Word of mouth - positive / familiarity and negative / NIMBY 10,89,population resistance strength,536,354,102,29,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,90,89,77,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(609,385)| 10,91,new site project start rate,1408,1295,87,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,92,25,91,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1012,1076)| 10,93,expected profitability ratio,1063,1453,99,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,94,93,71,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(767,1465)| 10,95,avg turbine lifetime,2375,830,69,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,96,proportion turbines replaced,1619,1292,94,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 10,97,turbine replacement rate,1512,1181,92,29,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|20||0-0-0 1,98,96,97,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1588,1252)| 10,99,land use installed base,2108,410,81,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,100,land under construction,1666,422,75,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,101,land under permitting,1271,427,67,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,102,13,97,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1882,1113)| 10,103,Generation Capacity installed base,1423,1335,97,43,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,104,generation capacity under construction,1030,1342,115,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,105,generation capacity under permitting,686,1259,115,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,106,Government demo Projects,2128,821,86,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,107,106,3,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(2128,802)| 10,108,capacity factor under construction,1799,1235,110,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,109,capacity factor undergoing permitting,1505,1307,128,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,110,capacity factor installed base,2223,1192,90,29,8,2,1,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,111,97,91,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1413,1204)| 10,112,avg turbine lifetime,2295,999,69,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,113,112,13,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2220,958)| 10,114,capacity factor installed base,2118,204,90,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,115,capacity factor under construction,1577,191,110,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,116,capacity factor undergoing permitting,1118,192,128,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,117,116,42,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1117,305)| 1,118,115,39,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1581,304)| 1,119,114,53,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2121,310)| 10,120,Generation Capacity installed base,2257,93,97,43,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,121,generation capacity under construction,1717,89,115,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,122,generation capacity under permitting,1266,75,115,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,123,122,44,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1265,246)| 1,124,121,41,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1715,256)| 1,125,120,15,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(2252,265)| 10,126,land under construction,1448,90,75,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,127,land use installed base,1977,98,81,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 10,128,land under permitting,957,81,67,29,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|20||128-128-128 1,129,128,43,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(957,250)| 1,130,126,40,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1450,256)| 1,131,127,17,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|20||0-0-0,1|(1989,263)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Installed capacity $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 10,1,Generation Capacity installed base,1046,388,55,42,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,2,3,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(924,385)| 11,3,156,851,385,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,4,generation capacity construction rate,851,416,61,19,40,131,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,5,48,1384,371,10,8,0,3,0,8,-1,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|18||0-0-0 1,6,8,5,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1301,371)| 1,7,8,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1159,371)| 11,8,48,1223,371,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,9,generation capacity decommission rate,1223,404,61,19,40,131,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,10,marginal turbine power rating,221,548,55,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,generation capacity under construction,659,376,70,35,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,generation capacity under permitting,357,378,58,35,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,13,3,11,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(787,385)| 1,14,16,11,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(552,384)| 1,15,16,12,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(459,384)| 11,16,1804,510,384,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,17,generation capacity permitting rate,510,411,61,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,18,48,34,374,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,19,21,12,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(235,374)| 1,20,21,18,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(101,374)| 11,21,48,165,374,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,22,generation capacity project start rate,165,405,61,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,23,10,21,0,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(192,460)| 10,24,Government demo Projects,1046,449,64,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,25,24,1,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(1046,430)| 10,26,avg WGC UC,905,573,55,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,27,26,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(881,505)| 10,28,Turbine construction Rate,763,562,60,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,29,28,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(802,494)| 10,30,avg WGC IB,1310,578,52,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,31,30,9,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1271,501)| 10,32,Turbine Decomission Rate,1175,570,62,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,33,32,9,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1196,493)| 10,34,avg WGC UP,575,546,54,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,35,34,17,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(547,488)| 10,36,turbine permitting rate,443,544,50,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,37,36,17,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(472,483)| 10,38,turbine project start rate,89,551,52,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,39,38,22,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(123,484)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Capacity factor $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 12,1,48,1244,398,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,2,3,1,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1173,401)| 11,3,48,1106,401,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,4,capacity factor decommission rate,1106,432,59,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 11,5,1020,720,394,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,6,capacity factor construction rate,720,421,53,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,7,marginal install capacity factor,182,284,52,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,8,capacity factor installed base,921,416,84,48,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,9,5,8,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(781,394)| 1,10,3,8,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1052,401)| 10,11,unit turbine,65,274,35,11,8,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,12,capacity factor under construction,578,405,73,51,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,13,capacity factor undergoing permitting,280,409,68,43,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,14,5,12,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(682,394)| 1,15,17,12,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(468,414)| 1,16,17,13,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(384,414)| 11,17,1772,426,414,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,18,capacity factor permitting rate,426,445,47,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 12,19,48,60,406,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,20,22,13,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(170,402)| 1,21,22,19,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(93,402)| 11,22,48,122,402,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,23,capacity factor project start rate,122,433,53,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,24,7,22,1,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|12||0-0-0,1|(151,343)| 1,25,11,22,0,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|12||0-0-0,1|(91,334)| 10,26,turbine replacement rate,189,571,58,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,27,26,23,0,0,45,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(158,508)| 10,28,proportion turbines replaced,1004,562,66,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,29,28,4,0,0,45,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1050,502)| 1,30,11,8,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(461,339)| 10,31,initial power rating,921,487,44,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,32,31,8,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(921,473)| 10,33,Government demo Projects,921,487,64,19,8,2,1,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,34,33,8,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(921,473)| 1,35,33,13,0,1,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(609,449)| 10,36,avg CF IB,1103,590,43,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,37,36,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1103,521)| 10,38,Turbine Decomission Rate,1185,541,62,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,39,38,4,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1149,492)| 10,40,avg CF UC,800,558,47,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,41,40,6,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(766,499)| 10,42,Turbine construction Rate,682,558,60,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,43,42,6,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(698,496)| 10,44,avg CF UP,475,575,46,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,45,44,18,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(454,520)| 10,46,turbine permitting rate,368,578,50,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,47,46,18,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(393,517)| 10,48,turbine project start rate,68,576,52,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,49,48,23,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(92,511)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Turbine Economics $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 10,1,total potential land,405,317,61,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,2,function for CF by land use,492,283,69,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,3,marginal install capacity factor,530,377,68,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,4,max capacity factor,379,374,57,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,5,1,3,0,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(460,344)| 1,6,2,3,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(507,323)| 1,7,4,3,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(442,375)| 10,8,electricity price,1083,128,44,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,9,price production incentive,843,178,72,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,10,investment subsidy,1225,858,48,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,11,interest rate,722,771,51,13,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,12,annuity factor,839,814,60,13,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,13,11,12,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(783,795)| 10,14,annual maintenance cost,616,519,75,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,15,hours per year,704,427,62,11,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,16,expected profitability ratio,308,481,75,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,17,upfront investment costs,1093,758,72,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,18,unit revenue,894,38,54,13,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,19,8,18,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1000,74)| 1,20,9,18,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(872,112)| 1,21,10,17,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1160,813)| 10,22,expected annual energy,742,318,70,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,23,15,22,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(722,371)| 10,24,kW per GW turbine,639,226,53,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,25,24,22,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(690,255)| 10,26,maintenance costs per unit energy,798,624,79,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,27,26,14,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(713,574)| 10,28,annual breakeven costs,464,815,69,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,29,14,28,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(514,680)| 10,30,annual expected revenues,691,37,70,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,31,18,30,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(790,25)| 1,32,22,30,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(740,180)| 1,33,28,16,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(322,598)| 1,34,30,16,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(406,173)| 10,35,normalized upfront investments,923,895,84,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,36,12,35,1,0,45,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(877,866)| 1,37,35,28,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(658,909)| 1,38,17,35,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1025,828)| 10,39,avg turbine lifetime,828,741,49,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,40,marginal turbine power rating,914,486,72,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,41,marginal rotor diameter,1144,362,64,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,42,41,40,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1022,451)| 1,43,40,22,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(834,417)| 1,44,39,12,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(832,775)| 10,45,function marginal rotor diameter,1261,305,78,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,46,45,41,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(1208,330)| 10,47,Time,1187,226,36,13,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,48,47,41,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1169,282)| 10,49,initial power rating,1036,560,56,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,50,rotor power exponent,957,605,53,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,51,50,40,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(937,552)| 1,52,49,40,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(981,526)| 10,53,function for electricity price,1220,104,68,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,54,53,8,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1154,105)| 10,55,electricity price discount factor,992,187,68,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,56,55,18,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(943,113)| 10,57,initial upfront project costs,1274,769,61,23,8,131,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 10,58,project cost rotor exponent,1247,662,76,23,8,3,0,8,0,0,0,0,0-0-0,0-0-0,|16||0-0-0 1,59,57,17,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1198,770)| 1,60,58,17,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1167,714)| 1,61,41,17,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1159,635)| 1,62,15,14,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(670,461)| 1,63,3,22,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(636,330)| 1,64,3,14,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(578,441)| 1,65,40,14,1,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(760,508)| 10,66,land use installed base,442,455,65,23,8,2,0,11,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|16||128-128-128 1,67,66,3,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(480,420)| 1,68,47,8,0,0,43,0,10,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(1145,186)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Industry capacity $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,5,0 12,1,48,758,182,10,8,0,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 1,2,3,1,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(704,187)| 11,3,48,654,187,6,8,34,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,4,industry capacity growth rate,654,214,54,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,5,capacity adjustment time,723,95,50,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,6,5,3,0,0,45,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|12||0-0-0,1|(687,142)| 10,7,initial industry capacity,464,91,43,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 10,8,Function for Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Capacity,282,482,72,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,9,8,10,1,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(457,507)| 10,10,Effect of Profitability on Turbine Industry Installation Capacity,545,459,88,28,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,11,10,4,1,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(634,443)| 10,12,turbine industry installation capacity,474,183,69,55,3,131,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,13,3,12,4,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(595,187)| 1,14,15,12,100,0,0,22,0,0,0,-1--1--1,,1|(480,268)| 11,15,956,480,304,8,6,33,3,0,0,1,0,0,0 10,16,industry capacity loss rate,480,329,54,19,40,3,0,0,-1,0,0,0 10,17,avg capacity lifetime,348,335,40,19,8,3,0,0,0,0,0,0 1,18,17,16,1,0,45,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(400,318)| 1,19,12,15,1,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(427,200)| 1,20,12,4,1,0,43,0,2,64,0,-1--1--1,|16||0-0-0,1|(600,127)| 1,21,7,12,0,0,0,0,0,64,1,-1--1--1,,1|(466,112)| 10,22,expected profitability ratio,741,510,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 1,23,22,10,0,0,0,0,0,64,0,-1--1--1,,1|(665,490)| \\\---/// Sketch information - do not modify anything except names V300 Do not put anything below this section - it will be ignored *Simulation Screen $192-192-192,0,Times New Roman|12||0-0-0|0-0-0|0-0-255|-1--1--1|-1--1--1|96,96,100,0 10,1,initial turbine power rating,1154,-120,62,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,2,total potential land,111,-130,58,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,3,investment subsidy,316,-129,48,19,8,130,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,4,Government demo Projects,316,71,64,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,5,price production incentive,319,-76,57,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 12,6,918838,847,233,167,116,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 Turbine Installed Base,Graph 12,7,853254,494,483,168,119,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 Generation Capacity installed base,Graph 12,8,3212430,844,486,165,128,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 land use installed base,Graph 12,9,787764,150,237,167,116,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 Turbine construction Rate,Graph 10,10,avg turbine lifetime,709,47,40,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,11,avg turbine construction time,708,-10,59,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,12,avg permitting time,704,-70,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,13,avg start decision time,702,-132,47,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,14,initial industry capacity,564,-131,48,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,15,function for electricity price,110,18,53,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,16,max capacity factor,107,-88,47,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,17,function for CF by land use,115,-26,71,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 12,18,0,115,-167,58,11,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 Case Input Values 12,19,0,327,-166,69,11,8,132,0,0,-1,0,0,0 Case Policy Values 12,20,0,760,-174,40,11,8,4,0,0,-1,0,0,0 Other Inputs 10,21,interest rate,318,-34,46,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,22,capacity adjustment time,566,-76,55,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,23,avg capacity lifetime,566,-14,45,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,24,maintenance costs per unit energy,1000,-124,62,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,25,initial upfront project costs,999,-70,46,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,26,project cost rotor exponent,1000,-18,61,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,27,marginal rotor diameter,1151,-66,49,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,28,electricity price discount factor,323,12,53,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,29,population resistance strength,111,73,63,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,30,permit fail ratio,847,-132,56,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,31,construction fail ratio,844,-72,55,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 10,32,turbine spacing,1160,-13,56,11,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 12,33,853252,494,233,170,114,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 turbine industry installation capacity,Graph 12,34,1639698,501,763,167,128,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 unit revenue,Graph 12,35,787796,844,764,168,127,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 expected profitability ratio,Graph 12,36,787792,157,761,168,123,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 electricity price,Graph 12,37,787794,152,485,168,122,3,188,0,0,2,0,0,0 generation capacity construction rate,Graph 10,38,proportion turbines replaced,1153,42,66,19,8,2,0,3,-1,0,0,0,128-128-128,0-0-0,|12||128-128-128 ///---\\\ :GRAPH Technical_Limit :TITLE Technical Limit :SCALE :VAR percent electricity provided by wind :VAR technical integration limit :L<%^E!@ 1:Spain.vdf 1:Denmark.vdf 1:Portugal.vdf 1:Germany.vdf 1:Idaho.vdf 1:California.vdf 1:Illinois.vdf 1:Colorado.vdf 9:Spain 22:$,Dollar,Dollars,$s 22:Day,Days 22:Hour,Hours 22:kW,GW / 1000 22:Month,Months 22:Person,People,Persons 22:turbines,turbine 22:Unit,Units 22:Week,Weeks 22:Year,Years 23:0 15:0,0,0,0,0,0 19:5,1 27:2, 34:0, 4:Time 5:industry capacity growth rate 35:Date 36:YYYY-MM-DD 37:2000 38:1 39:1 40:2 41:0 24:1975 25:2100 26:2100