Online Content

1. Lopez, Luis with Porfirio Guevara and Roy Zuniga-Saenz, "Forecasting Primary Education Efficiency"

Type:
Document
Date Created:
2005 July 17-2005 July 21
Collection:
System Dynamic Society Records
Collecting Area:
University Archives
Collection ID:
ua435
Parent Record(s):
23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, 3c582e6f5cf305ef0030c7471b499022, and cc5bb0ac12a5b68b26b1583548898dae
Thumbnail Path Ss:
/downloads/4f16cm26q?file=thumbnail
System Modified Dtsi:
2020-01-02T19:33:57Z
Description:
Education is considered one of the main drivers of welfare in society. However, countries in the world follow different paths when creating basic human capabilities, many of them not in the right direction. Linear extrapolation is still widely utilized to predict future behavior based on statistics like the Primary Completion Rate. This paper presents a dynamic model of primary education as a first step to understand the structure and behavior of educational systems and as an alternative way to extrapolate outcomes of this and other relevant key indicators, like the Gross Enrollment Rate. The model is calibrated for the case of Nicaragua.