Online Content

1. Schade, Burkhard with Wolfgang Schade, "Assessment of Environmentally Sustainable Transport Scenarios by a Backcasting Approach with ESCOT"

Type:
Document
Date Created:
2005 July 17-2005 July 21
Collection:
System Dynamic Society Records
Collecting Area:
University Archives
Collection ID:
ua435
Parent Record(s):
23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, 3c582e6f5cf305ef0030c7471b499022, and cc5bb0ac12a5b68b26b1583548898dae
Thumbnail Path Ss:
/downloads/v979vm07d?file=thumbnail
System Modified Dtsi:
2020-01-02T19:35:28Z
Description:
The aim of the System Dynamics Model ESCOT is to describe a path towards a sustainable transport system in Germany and to assess its economic impacts. ESCOT was developed within the environmentally sustainable transport (EST) project of the OECD that was designed to set-up the ecological and technical framework of a transition towards sustainable transportation. ESCOT comprises five models: the macroeconomic, the transport, the regional economic, the environmental and the policy model. The economic assessment for environmentally sustainable scenarios shows that the departure from car- and road freight-oriented transport policy is far away from leading to an economic breakdown. By expanding the time period for the transition we derived even more encouraging economic results. For the economic assessment it is important that ESCOT considers not only first round effects but also secondary effects. This ability makes ESCOT a powerful instrument for the assessment of such large system changes.