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1. Dauelsberg, Lori with Alexander Outkin, "Modeling Economic Impacts to Critical Infrastructures in a System Dynamics Framework"
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 2005 July 17-2005 July 21
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, 3c582e6f5cf305ef0030c7471b499022, and cc5bb0ac12a5b68b26b1583548898dae
- Thumbnail Path Ss:
- /downloads/f18824335?file=thumbnail
- System Modified Dtsi:
- 2020-01-02T19:31:57Z
- Description:
- Our paper presents a model of economic impacts arising from disruptions to critical infrastructures. This model is a component of the Critical Infrastructure Protection Decision Support System (CIP/DSS) which simulates the dynamics of a set of interconnected individual infrastructures. We use factors of production (such as energy, telecommunications, and labor) from the CIP/DSS model to estimate the effects of interruptions to these infrastructures. The system dynamics approach we use is compared to equilibrium-based approaches such as input-output modeling. This method allows an understanding of the economic benefits of various protective measures. We incorporate non-equilibrium dynamics that arise from these disruptions to provide values for various economic impacts such as lost revenues and lost sales. The results from a disruption due to an infectious disease outbreak are presented. We show that the effects of quarantine dominate the overall economic impacts in a number of cases.