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-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1991
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, 5d7e83a7ca6c4cd9ab0ccc8a805a7aa7, and d1cfc0fcedb4f6334f34d1ca11dcf292
- Description:
- This paper presents two approaches to forecast the National Finance Income (NFI) and the Amount of Currency Circulation (ACC) of China . Firstly it uses Combined Hierarchical Periodic Adjustment (CHPA) forecasting approach, which fully considers the periodic characteristics of the stochastic time-varying financial system, to forecast the national finance income, and then it uses Controlled Auto-Regressive models with Multi-Step Recursive (MSR) algothrim to forecast the amount of currency circulation, both have got better results.