Online Content

1. Barney, Gerald O. with Robert Eberlein, Weishuang Qu and P.D. Sharma, "The Threshold 21: Sustainable Development Model"

Type:
Document
Date Created:
1995
Collection:
System Dynamic Society Records
Collecting Area:
University Archives
Collection ID:
ua435
Parent Record(s):
23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, 6214ef14bd960d7be5cd8a816a71dc52, and 12420ec6bd5f758d2b4dea59aabd75a9
Thumbnail Path Ss:
/downloads/1z40mb180?file=thumbnail
System Modified Dtsi:
2020-01-02T18:53:23Z
Description:
As we approach the turn of the millennium and pass the 50th anniversary of the Breton Woods and the United Nations institutions, none of our major development agencies have a comprehensive sustainable development model. The Millennium Institute, after a decade of assisting countries in long-term sustainable development studies, has developed a multidisciplinary national sustainable development model called Threshold 21. The model integrates economic production, national accounts, demography, agriculture, energy, health, education, nutrition, and environment in a single model based on the principles and methodology of system dynamics. It simulates the dynamic interactions of these variables for a period of 50 years. Threshold 21 is written in the Vensim simulation environment. The model is being applied first in an analysis of alternative futures for Bangladesh. The Millennium Institute, in collaboration with development partners, is planning applications in several countries, including Australia, China, and the United States.