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- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
- Description:
- Long term explorations (15 to 40 years ahead) of the future development in travel demand are fraught with uncertainties. In particular, in long term policy development it is essential to use comprehensive and consistent scenarios and to incorporate the essential factors, constraints and feedback mechanisms in the analysis. It is on the long term that complexity arises because many of the usual assumptions on steady conditions on the short term are not valid. Moreover, long term developments in society which determine travel demand are hard to predict. It is no surprise that there is little consensus among the professionals on an adequate concept for the passenger transport system which is valid on the long term.
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- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8
- Description:
- The new liberalism and privatisation trends now taking place world-wide have influenced government policies on electricity utility management. Some countries in the Latin America region are moving away from central planning, vertically integrated regional monopolies and heavy biased hydroelectricity generation schemes towards more liberalised set ups. The specific structure chosen in the Colombian case have important variations with respect to those advocated by main stream economic thinking. Recent technology developments or power generation and extensive gas use in the household sector have stretch further relationships between electricity and gas industries. In this paper we present a System Dynamics model specially built as part of larger projects to study and asses the effect of market forces into the power generation sector, at the light of a larger scale plan which intends to supply natural gas as an important portion of the household sector and the power generation industry. With the aid of the model, we examine a number of economic signals to induce capacity investment to secure appropriate reserve margins for the Colombian electricity system.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
- Description:
- System Dynamics Education (SDE) efforts have been underway in the Unites States since the 1970s. Since then Pre-collegiate educators have attended Systems Dynamics (SD) conferences, participated in training workshops, developed and distributed curriculum materials, launched projects, published articles and complete dissertations. In October 1995, the authors have interviewed teachers and administrators involved in SDE projects, analyzed curriculum materials, and reviewed the literature. Based on this data, strengths and weakness within the SDE field has been identified, and recommendations have been developed. This paper is a progress report intended to promote dialogue among those interested in SDE. We encourage others to challenge these recommendations and substitute alternative ones.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
- Description:
- A system dynamic approach is applied to explore sociological dynamics on rural community development of a traditional rural in Indonesia namely Wamena. The model is used to explain the causalities relationship of the decision making process of rural communities in responding to the development implemented by the government. The model consists of five main sectors: native population, migrant population, land, food, and agricultural technology. The simulation shows that the dynamics of development pattern is greatly influenced by the interactions of natives and migrants in market activities.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8
- Description:
- Management of scarce water in Jordan requires development and operation of expensive water facilities and making hard policy decisions. System Dynamics is used to represent the structure of the water sector in Jordan and to test potential policy decisions and water development scenarios. This paper discusses the potential use of System Dynamics simulation models to serve as tools to aid water managers and policy makers in making management decisions and long-range water strategies.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8
- Description:
- In spite of its potential strengths and different attempts made in the past to apply it to business research, management education and practice, still today System Dynamics is far from being sufficiently exploited both in academic and in industrial context in Italy. System Dynamics-Italian chapter born offers the opportunity to: Investigate the present S.D. scenario in Italy; University and research centers where S.D. courses are present, Companies where there have been or are having experiences with S.D. methodology, Practical applications by consultants in both educational and company model construction, Underline problems met proposing S.D. approach, Express practical results obtained, Evaluate potential "levers" for S.D. diffusion.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
- Description:
- On behalf of the "product portfolio" analysis through Boston Consulting Group (B.C.G.) approach and System Dynamics methodology analysis of a wine production firm, a dynamic model of a company had been developed. The winery model is designed for different functions of the firm, taking in to account Resource & Production, Economic & Financial and Market subsystems. Even though the model has been focused to evaluate different market strategies in new product launching, it can be used also to support simulating policies concerning different management functions of the firm. The model will be described schematically and a series of simulation results will be presented, particularly in evaluating company policies in new product launching, so to put in evidence how system dynamics could be useful in strategic analysis.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694
- Description:
- ASIMOV (Autopoiesis Simulation Model for Valuation) was developed in the context of an applied research project on Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SME), and is a simulation model for the behaviour of an innovative company in a market characterised by rapid change. The model is based on two elements: the nucleus and the membrane. The nucleus represents the operational strength of the company: the membrane its capacity for interaction and exchange with the outside world. Special attention is paid to the membrane for the effects of telematics, particularly telework. In fact, the model is intended as a predictive instrument for the implementation of types of telework. The purpose of ASIMOV is to make forecasts regarding the nucleus-membrane dynamics that take place in companies after an investment in an observable and partly predictable market. With a three-year time horizon in the simulation it is possible to consider most phenomena. The simulation model developed with high Performance Systems Inc.'s ITHINK, is parametric, allowing it to adapt quickly to specific situations at reasonable cost.
-
- Type:
- Document
- Date Created:
- 1996
- Collection:
- System Dynamic Society Records
- Collecting Area:
- University Archives
- Collection ID:
- ua435
- Parent Record(s):
- 227da936724c4223c5a64764d3922694, ca4810593b2703dcaa087957ab13af91, and 23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8
- Description:
- Japan has made a remarkable progress not only in the area of the economic development but also in the area of the pollution control after the world war the second; This paper, firstly tries to make analysis of Japanese pollution policies to the mainly atmospheric problems and to fix the specified Japan Environmental Model of the atmosphere during this forty years, secondly to make the recommendation of the importance of the application of the advanced technologies to the transitional environmental issues.