Johnson, Scott with David Peterson, "Project of the Future Vision: Using System Dynamics to Achieve ‘Model-in-Loop’ Project Planning & Execution", 2006 July 23-2006 July 27
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The current work presents and discusses current insights from an ongoing BP Project Dynamics R&D program that supports a Project of the Future vision enabled through the use of formal system dynamics modeling. The BP capital investment environment and the importance of effective capital project planning and execution is discussed. The role of system dynamics in BPs project training approach and early adoption trends favoring conceptual versus formal model tools are reviewed. A formal modeling application conducted in parallel with an actual project assessment that used a traditional approach is detailed and contrasted to provide a direct comparison. In particular, we describe the traditional project assessment approach, how a formal system dynamics model was introduced and used, and how the quantified results influenced both the project and participants. We then identify key learnings and how a model-in-loop concept supports the Project of the Future vision. Finally, we briefly discuss implications for future R&D efforts.