Xu, Qingrui with Jin Chen, Shaoxia Chan, Jie Han, "System Dynamics Modeling of National Policy: Case of Environment Conservation Input in China", 1994
The underpinning factor for one nation’ssustainable development is the proper investment on environment conversation,advanced countries spend 24% GNP on national environment conversation, butChina spends’ is only around 0.06.7% of GNP. Increasing the input onenvironment conversation emphasize by Chinese Government and many scholars. Inthis paper, based on the situation of environment conversation input in somecountries, the mechanism analysis on the relationship between environment,economy, science & technology, education, population, we introduce a systemdynamics model to forecasting China’senvironment through synchronization of economic growth and environmentconversation. The relationship between model structure and model structure andmodel behavior in a mathematical framework of system isomorphism as well as thescenario of different economic growth rate and different ratio of environmentconversation input over GNP are studied.
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