A Spatio-temporal Industry Dynamic
Simulation of Taoyuan Aerotropolis
Plan in Taiwan
Teacher : Shyr,O. F
Members : Kaida Chen1, Pengbo Lil, Hanliang Lin1, Simon
Shepherd? , Oliver F. Shyrl, Hsaioting Wang1, Yanciao Siel,
Weihsuan Lol, Xiaoyue Wang1, Chunyin Manl
§ 1. Introduction
Taoyuan Aerotropolis Plan is an over NT$500 million investment project to develop the
Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport and surrounding area of 6845 hectares that
estimates 200-300 thousand jobs and NT$2.3 trillion NTS in revenue. It is also a milestone
of industrial restructuring and innovation in Taiwan.
@ Research purpose
Our study aims to simulate industry characteristics trend change space and time
of Taoyuan Aerotropolis in multiple aspects.
o Vensim model
By applying Vensim we demonstrate that the industry system in Taoyuan
Aerotropolis would experience a transitional period from growth to maturity
while the population system would continue to increase in the first twenty years.
o Netlogo model
In the last part, we simulate of the occupancy of various firms on industrial zone
for the next 40 years using an agent-based land use simulator Netlogo.
2. Aerotropolis Model
&
1. Population subsystem
Population system includes natural growth population
and social growth population
2. Industrial subsystem
; According to the types of industries that are likely to
Asport Through
gather near the airport, the industry is divided into
core industry, dependent industry, and supporting
industry.
3. Land demand subsystem
The land demand subsystem connects the dynamic
balance of the population subsystem and the industrial
subsystem
] 3. Simulation results
It is observed that:
When the development and extension
speed of industries interact in a positive
relationship, the scale of industries is
estimated to a steady growth.
When industries’ speed of development
faster than its speed of extension, the scale
of industries is estimated to accelerate.
When industries’ speed of development
slower than its speed of extension, the
scale of industries is estimated to shrink
until its extinction.
Conclusion
Under the characteristics of Aerotropolis
transformation rule in industries, the
development of industries results in a
migration of industries.
In which, industries with higher gross
output will located in the districts with
higher geographical advantages, and
industries with lower gross output will be
dispersed around the city’ s peripheral
areas.
It indicated the inequality of resources
distribution, the big always get bigger and
the small one getting even smaller.
Moreover, for the supporting industries, a
balance status expected to be reached at
the critical point of survival in industries,
as they have the necessity of existence.
THANKS.
