Passell, Howard with Will Peplinski, Leonard Malczynski and Marty Ennis, "Modeling for Sensitivity Analysis in Endangered Fish Species Management", 2007 July 29-2007 August 2

ua435

Managing endangered species populations is a complex task demanding integration of knowledge across many disciplines, spatial and temporal scales, and ranges of human impacts. Computer simulation models can be useful in these efforts. We describe an ecosystem-level model for simulating population dynamics of the Rio Grande Silvery Minnow (RGSM; Hybognathus amarus) in the Rio Grande of central New Mexico. The model includes numerous variables which can be set by the user for different and in many cases uncertain minnow life history traits, impacts on mortality, and environmental conditions. Sensitivity analyses were conducted on the model’s output as a way of testing the robustness of the model, gaining insights into RGSM population dynamics, and identifying important data gaps. The model returned biologically reasonable results consistent with currently limited understanding of RGSM population dynamics. Some results were completely predictable (e.g., good fertility and mortality data are the most important variables for understanding population dynamics), and some offered useful insights (e.g., current captive release programs may have little impact on long term population dynamics, but may prevent short term extinction).

This is the whole item.

Date created
  • 2007 July 29-2007 August 2
Type
Processing Activity License

ITEM CONTEXT

Part of

298eed5a7fe199ac661be72f3a39f134

Scope and Contents
Part of

0619e689ce89476bfd3b88323c5a9410

Scope and Contents
Part of

23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

Scope and Contents
Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents
Collecting area

Elementi