Fjellså, Olav, "The Development of the Debt-Ratio in a Small Open Economy", 1981

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This paper describes a System Dynamics model of the foreign trade sector in a small open economy. The model is used to investigate the consequences of various economic policies aimed at solving problems which a high-cost country may experience when its debt-ratio begins to increase. With the model, we simulate some of the economic consequences of currency devaluation, tax increase, restrictive public policy and income freeze. Each of these measures significantly improve the debt-ratio, but only after a delay of 5-8 years, as a result of various bottlenecks in the decision-making process.

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  • 1981
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System Dynamic Society Records

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