Ongoing research at the Rockefeller College is exploring the ability of subjects in a computer-based management laboratory to manage the implementation of welfare reform. Reflection on the design of such research have pushed us to develop a firmer theoretical foundation to guide our research on distinguishable submodels focused on ends (goals), means (strategies, tactics, policy levers) and connection between them (the means/ends model). These distinctions, coupled with a view of human judgment from Brunswikean psychology, lead to a rich integrated theory of perception, planning, actions, and learning in complex dynamic feedback systems. From that theory we derive classes of testable research hypotheses about decisions making in dynamic environment in particular, design logic and operator logic hypotheses that have serious implications for system dynamics research and practice. The operator logic hypothesis suggests that system intervention focused on understanding detailed system structure will have little impact if they are not captured in easy-to-digest chunks of strategic insights that managers can integrate into relatively simple means-ends associations. Compounding the difficulties of mental research is the likelihood that individuals’ mental models can not be directly elicited without distortion.

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Date created

• 1994

Type

• Document

Processing Activity

• Processing documentation available at: https://wiki.albany.edu/display/SCA/Processing+Ingested+Digital+Files

License

• Creative Commons BY-NC-ND Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International

  
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ITEM CONTEXT

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fe35db792b573af835d96e6eba4759cd

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Part of

c060552994c1527f70693734935660f1

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Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents

Collecting area

• This collection is part of the University Archives