In contrast with those fast growing of small- or mid-size cities' economy, big cities in China are suffering a lot of difficulties: the deterioration of the external condition of production, the decay of the industry structure, the shortage of municipal infrastructure, the fund scarcity, etc.. People have been discussing the limit factors of big cities for times, but we still need more quantitative and dynamic analysis of the whole system. In this paper we use the system dynamics model to simulate the behavior of a big city, conclude that within this century the main limits to the economic growth of a big city is the production condition, including energy, material, and transportation supply, while after the early years of the next century, the market demand, which is determined by the cost and the quality of product as well as the economic development of other areas, will be the real limit to a big city. Policy testing shows that the effective adjustments to big cities are the improvement of material supply as well as the speeding up of the capital discarding.

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Date created

• 1987

Type

• Document

Processing Activity

• Processing documentation available at: https://wiki.albany.edu/display/SCA/Processing+Ingested+Digital+Files

License

• Creative Commons BY-NC-ND Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International

  
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ITEM CONTEXT

Part of

ef456d2a6c943c510d5169405dfd9416

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Part of

83d7d84d4a906b77a877f50ccddf0ccd

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Part of

23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

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Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents

Collecting area

• This collection is part of the University Archives