Coyle, R. G. with J. C. Rego, "Scenario and Policy Evaluation in Electrical Supply Decisions, the Argentine Case", 1983
The Argentine energy authorities elaborated a Plan for the Electricity National Sector, made known in 1979, where the policies to be followed for the period 1979-2000, were established. The Plan proposed basically a dramatic change in the structure of the present generating capacity configuration at the national level, toward a scheme predominantly hydro based. Apparently, the idea of an Electricity Sector less oil dependent, together with the utilization of a huge hydro-potential, which had been neglected until that moment, appeared promising. However, the study of the robustness of such plan, that is, its capability to perform well under different scenarios, became indispensible. The System Dynamics technique provided the possibility of analysing such robustness, by means of a continuous-time simulation model of the Argentine Electricity Sector. This paper presents the results of experimenting with that model, in order to determine the soundness of the policies proposed.
This is the whole item.
Date created |
|
Type |
|
Processing Activity |
|
License |
|