The sophistication of schools texts has been declining for more than 100 years in the U.S. Coincidentally, student capabilities and measured verbal achievement have been declining, certainly since the 1950s and probably since 1900. This investigation built a tiny model representing the famous sliding goals archetype tracing back to Forrester's Market Growth paper, and fit the model beautifully to the data. The fit is very dramatic and persuades everyone who sees it that the sophistication of texts and student SAT verbal scores are linked in a sadly sliding long-term pattern. But the fit, derived by robust and correct procedures, is fundamentally flawed, and the lovely fit to data is grossly misleading. This presentation will reveal the entire sad story, with implications for wise practice in the field.

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Date created

• 2012 July 22-2012 July 26

Type

• Document

Processing Activity

• Processing documentation available at: https://wiki.albany.edu/display/SCA/Processing+Ingested+Digital+Files

License

• Creative Commons BY-NC-ND Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International

  
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ITEM CONTEXT

Part of

ab062956a014e30aaf02b44e9d33088e

Scope and Contents

Part of

23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

Scope and Contents

Part of

b90fd81032b7dbf0c9f90f3dc3a33f1c

Scope and Contents

Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents

Collecting area

• This collection is part of the University Archives