Gelvez Pinto, Lilia. N. with Zandy C. Muskus M., Hugo H. Andrade S., Gerardo Munoz M., "Mathematical Simulation Model for the Study of the Transmission Dynamics of the Leishmaniasis Under a Systemic Approach", 1994
This article presents a model in System Dynamics, for the control of the Leishmaniasis. This proposal presents the interactions among the five subsystems that intervene in the transmission dynamics of the Leishmaniasis: insect population, human population, animal population, the environment and the control strategies. The parasite, the transmission personage, is defined as the element that determines the relationship among the subsystems that determines the epidemiological cycle. The indicated subsystems are separated at different levels and its dynamics is modeled through a set of 120 different equations involving the different reported parameters in the scientific literature. The resulting model permits to simulate the transmission with and without controls and to observe the efficiency by applying of those control policies. The simulation is performed using a home made software called EVOLUTION, in two different conditions: natural conditions or without controls and with controls, obtaining quantitative and qualitative results which were considered plausible by the experts. The set conformed by the software and then model could be considered a valuable tool for epidemiology research.
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