This paper revisits the use of trend forecasting in driving policy in social systems by comparing it with derivative control in classical control theory. While both processes involve use of trend to determine policies for achieving reliable performance, the outcomes of the former have considerable variability while those of the later can create improvement in performance with certainty. The similarities and differences between the two processes are discussed and guidelines suggested for improving the efficacy of trend- forecasting in policy design in social systems.

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Date created

• 2007 July 29-2007 August 2

Type

• Document

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• Processing documentation available at: https://wiki.albany.edu/display/SCA/Processing+Ingested+Digital+Files

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• Creative Commons BY-NC-ND Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International

  
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298eed5a7fe199ac661be72f3a39f134

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Part of

0619e689ce89476bfd3b88323c5a9410

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23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

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Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

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Collecting area

• This collection is part of the University Archives