Forest, Tom, "Maya Apocalypse: Warfare-Punctuated Equilibrium at the Limit of Growth", 2007 July 29-2007 August 2

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This paper explores the dynamics of population levels in Mayan lands from the Late Preclassic to First Contact, roughly 500 BC - 1500 AD. It starts with a simplified version of the Limits to Growth model and adds the effects of warfare on available production. Drawing also from the 1976 MIT paper "A Case Study of the Classic Maya Collapse (D-2429), this paper explores how humans can politically intensify resource shortages into universal disaster.

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  • 2007 July 29-2007 August 2
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