Riley, Crystal with James Thompson and David Matchar, "Using System Dynamics Methodology to Generate Insights: An Example from Singaporean Population Health", 2011 July 24-2011 July 28

ua435

Singapore is one of the world’s most rapidly ageing nations, and the country is facing a number of health care policy issues, particularly including the care and treatment of ageing-related dementia. To help inform policymakers about dementia treatment and care, we constructed a System Dynamics model that addresses changing population characteristics, incidence and prevalence of dementia, and a population-level natural history of this pernicious condition. This article (a) describes how a discrepancy between measured census data (reference modes) and simulated population led to improved estimates of the population, (b) introduces a novel and generalizable means to simulate how the prevalence of mild, moderate, and severe dementia is likely to change over the next 20 years, and (c) provides comparisons between two means of prevalence estimation.

This is the whole item.

Date created
  • 2011 July 24-2011 July 28
Type
Processing Activity License

ITEM CONTEXT

Part of

28441c340962a2b363963713d1bba533

Scope and Contents
Part of

e35e9d46c0556df862a8fbb9e32d2143

Scope and Contents
Part of

23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

Scope and Contents
Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents
Collecting area

Items