The central premise of this study is that complex models of social processes often fail to provide direct and useful evidence for policy makers because, of necessity, complex models are based upon five distinct classes of assumptions. At least two of these five classes of assumptions are based upon a priori or theoretical arguments rather than strict empirical arguments. Because of their inherent speculative nature (at least in part), complex models produce forecasts that are not admissible as evidence in an essentially political debate.

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Date created

• 1981

Type

• Document

Processing Activity

• Processing documentation available at: https://wiki.albany.edu/display/SCA/Processing+Ingested+Digital+Files

License

• Creative Commons BY-NC-ND Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International

  
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ITEM CONTEXT

Part of

e8eac154b3129692f26c222dbc2c9466

Scope and Contents

Part of

4a97153f59047c298f3bcd6b15c284f5

Scope and Contents

Part of

23d738ba88f8333bc39725f9cb5bd0b8

Scope and Contents

Collection

System Dynamic Society Records

Scope and Contents

Collecting area

• This collection is part of the University Archives