Amsyari, Fuad et al, "Dynamic Modeling for Development of Java Island Ecosystem (An Approach to Development of Archipelagic Nations)", 1991

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As an archipelagic nation, Indonesia consist of thousands of island ecosystems. The development of the nation is supposed to consider such a specific existing ecological condition of the country. Therefore, as an alternative effort to promulgate a strategy for sustainable development of the nation, a study of Java as a complex island ecosystem has been conducted using dynamic modelling approach. The objective of the study is to delineate and assess the prospects of various dominate development variables of the island based on complex but measurable interactions among the components of the ecosystem to determine the most effective development strategy for the area. A dynamic model for Java Island Ecosystem has been set up based on 14 level variables in the model that represent five components of the island ecosystem, i.e. population variable for population component, food, houses, and fuel variables for population basic need component; industry-capital agriculture-capital, and business-capital variables for economic component;  schools and criminals variables for social component; forest arable-land, agricultural-land, city, and pollutants variables for ecological component. Each level has either has two or four rate variables is then interrelated by 72 multiplier variables that sum up to 30 rate variables. In addition, these variable is then interrelated by 72 multiplier variables. A computer program has been developed using a complied basic language to exercise simulation process. The result of study indicated that the best strategy for development of Java Island Ecosystem should be focused to the intensive program on modern agriculture rather than the industrial establishment of the area. (The computer simulation program will also be demonstrated to the conference ).

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  • 1991
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Processing Activity License

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