Vallipuram, Yamuna, "Long Term Transmission of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic:A System Dynamics Approach", 1991
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The computer simulation model presented in this paper,facilitates the quantitative understanding of the population dynamics of epidemic outbreaks of AIDS. This model provides public health authorities with the predicted consequences of different available control strategies,thus helping to select optional policies and better choice of intervention strategies. As the AIDS epidemic grows to alarming proportions in many parts of the world, causing social and economic losses, widespread disruption and repression of community life, it is important to have an understanding about the underlying causes of the disease and to predict the future trend of the development of the epidemic.