Bowen, Michael G. with Michael J. Radzicki, "A Return to the Dynamics of Escalation and Withdrawal Behavior", 1991
ua435
This paper reports the results of additional work on a model of escalation behavior since presentation of an early version of the model at the 1988 International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Radzicki, Bowen, Kuller, and Guerrero, 1988). Here we propose that four variables: (1) the expected total benefits which will accrue if a project is completed; (2) the expected total costs which will be incurred if a project is completed; (3) the expected total benefits which will accrue only if a project is stopped; and, (4) the expected total costs which will be incurred only if a project is stopped; may be crucial to recommitment decisions in terms of a decision maker’s perception of their interrelationships at any point in the evolution of a course of action